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Miran’s Next Vote
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Updated 3 hours ago
First seen March 17, 2026 05:02:28Stay on top of this story
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Quick Summary
Polymarket reports betting that Stephen Miran will dissent with 98% probability, up from 89.1% on the eve of the Iran war. To me, the interesting question is not whether he dissents, but how he justifies his vote (does he still believe that r* has declined?). Presumably, he’s stayed at a 50 bps cut, while the […]